Wednesday, May 7, 2008

Weather Update Wed. 11am...

After reviewing satellite loops and surface analysis I’ve come to some conclusions. The satellite loops show that the upper-level storm system is a bit further north than expected and will probably move to our northeast later today. This will reduce the severe hail threat somewhat. Surface analysis shows that the dryline is moving in from west Texas and is just east of Abilene. I still expect that scattered thunderstorms, some severe, will form along and ahead of the dryline. If we can get some good sunshine to heat us up prior to the dryline’s arrival we will see more widespread storms. Otherwise they may be widely scattered as our cap/lid is relatively strong, but is in the process of eroding.

I would still keep my eyes on the radar and ears to NOAA Weather Radio should storms pop up and begin to move in from the west.

Have a good Wednesday everyone. I’ll post updates as needed.




Remember you can keep up with the latest real-time conditions in Denton by using the link below courtesy of the WeatherUnderground and WeatherToGolf,LLC.

Click here for Real time Denton weather conditions.

UPDATED LINK: See Denton local radar and area temps courtesy of WeatherToGolf.Com

Feel free to send me an email by clicking here.

Talk about the weather:

The potential for severe weather remains in the forecast...

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are roaming the area again this morning. We will see the coverage and intensity continue to increase as the dryline and the upperlevel storm system move closer to us throughout the day. As I mentioned yesterday this storm system has a very cold upper level core and will increase the chance of large damaging hail this afternoon with any organized storm.

This is really a heads up post for today’s severe weather potential. I’ll analyze more data and wait for a couple of reports to come in and will update you again later this morning.

You will want to keep your weather radio on standby and within earshot all day today.

More to come…

Here is this morning's graphicast image Courtesy of the National Weather Service:







Remember you can keep up with the latest real-time conditions in Denton by using the link below courtesy of the WeatherUnderground and WeatherToGolf,LLC.

Click here for Real time Denton weather conditions.

UPDATED LINK: See Denton local radar and area temps courtesy of WeatherToGolf.Com

Feel free to send me an email by clicking here.

Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Storms moving on out this morning - But watch out for tomorrow!

Most of this morning’s storms have moved east out of the area. They are only a hint at what we may be dealing with tomorrow.

Here is the latest graphicast depicting this morning’s storms Courtesy of the National Weather Service:







An intense upper-level storm system, now over Baja California, will be moving our way and stirring up the atmosphere. This storm system has a very cold upper core and it’s wrapped tight. Winds at the jetstream level are in excess of 150mph. With that data in mind and knowing that it will be affecting our area maybe as early as tomorrow morning I’m giving you heads up now. There’s going to be a severe weather outbreak with this system and we may be in it or awfully close. The storms that move in and develop tomorrow will definitely be hailers and also produce damaging wind gusts. At this time isolated tornadoes can’t be ruled out. Weather radios will be needed to keep you safe and updated tomorrow.

Thursday through the weekend look nice and almost HOT as temperatures make it into the 90s.

I’ll bring you updates and tweaks to the forecast as we move towards tomorrow’s severe weather event.

Have a good Tuesday.




Remember you can keep up with the latest real-time conditions in Denton by using the link below courtesy of the WeatherUnderground and WeatherToGolf,LLC.

Click here for Real time Denton weather conditions.

UPDATED LINK: See Denton local radar and area temps courtesy of WeatherToGolf.Com

Feel free to send me an email by clicking here.

Talk about the weather:

Heavy storms on our door step this morning...

A line of heavy thunderstorms is moving into the area from the west this morning. A lot of cloud to ground lightning is noted with these storms. Nickel sized hail is probably occurring with these storms. Expect storms to move into our area by 7am. It could be a wet and noisy commute this morning. Be careful out there today.




Remember you can keep up with the latest real-time conditions in Denton by using the link below courtesy of the WeatherUnderground and WeatherToGolf,LLC.

Click here for Real time Denton weather conditions.

UPDATED LINK: See Denton local radar and area temps courtesy of WeatherToGolf.Com

Feel free to send me an email by clicking here.

Monday, May 5, 2008

Showers and storms will roam around the area today...

Showers and thunderstorms have been increasing in coverage this morning across north Texas. At this time nothing severe is expected, but a lot of cloud to ground lightning is showing up with these storms so be careful if one is near your area.

Keep your umbrellas handy as the showers and storms will be scattered across the area through this evening. Wednesday may be our next potential severe weather day.

I’ll post more later as get data into my office.




Remember you can keep up with the latest real-time conditions in Denton by using the link below courtesy of the WeatherUnderground and WeatherToGolf,LLC.

Click here for Real time Denton weather conditions.

UPDATED LINK: See Denton local radar and area temps courtesy of WeatherToGolf.Com

Feel free to send me an email by clicking here.

Friday, May 2, 2008

Beautiful weekend on tap for Denton...

The cold front that came through this morning and gave a few of us some showers has moved on into east Texas. A large area severe weather outbreak is ongoing at this time in the mid Mississippi valley. Numerous tornadoes have been reported along with fatalities. That will be the main story on the news this evening.

As for the Denton area we are on the quiet and pleasant side of the front. Nice weather will stay with us through the weekend. The humidity will be low, so we will see warm afternoons and cool mornings through Sunday. Nighttime lows will be in the upper 40s to near 50 degrees and the daytime highs will be in the 70s. A reinforcing shot of dry cool air will move into the area with another cold front tomorrow. No rain is expected with this front, but we will see gusty north winds of 20-25mph during the day on Saturday.

A chance of rain and storms will be introduced into the forecast beginning on Monday. A large upper-level storm system will dominate our weather for much of the week and we may have to deal with some severe storms at times. As we move closer to that event I’ll be able to pin down the timing of storm systems it.

Everyone have a great weekend.




Remember you can keep up with the latest real-time conditions in Denton by using the link below courtesy of the WeatherUnderground and WeatherToGolf,LLC.

Click here for Real time Denton weather conditions.

WeatherToGolf radars will be up and down for a couple of days due to computer maintenance. I figured since the weather will be calm this would be the best time to take care of this. Thanks for your patience.

Feel free to send me an email by clicking here.

Talk about the weather:

Thursday, May 1, 2008

Most folks will stay dry tonight....

The wind advisory has been cancelled for the rest of the day as clouds have kept the gusty winds aloft from mixing down to the surface.

We continue to have a very strong cap/lid on the atmosphere above north Texas. Therefore the chance of storms tonight is pretty much nil. The Red River counties have the better chance (still not that great) of storms than the rest of us. Any storm that does get going will become severe quickly this evening.

A cold front will sweep through the area tonight into tomorrow. Again as the front moves through there will be the slightest chance of thunderstorms, but most areas will remain dry.

So far the weekend is looking nice and there is still a shot at some rowdy weather early next week.

Everyone have a good afternoon and evening.




Remember you can keep up with the latest real-time conditions in Denton by using the link below courtesy of the WeatherUnderground and WeatherToGolf,LLC.

Click here for Real time Denton weather conditions.

UPDATED LINK: Denton area radar and area temps courtesy of WeatherToGolf.Com

Feel free to send me an email by clicking here.