After reviewing satellite loops and surface analysis I’ve come to some conclusions. The satellite loops show that the upper-level storm system is a bit further north than expected and will probably move to our northeast later today. This will reduce the severe hail threat somewhat. Surface analysis shows that the dryline is moving in from west Texas and is just east of Abilene. I still expect that scattered thunderstorms, some severe, will form along and ahead of the dryline. If we can get some good sunshine to heat us up prior to the dryline’s arrival we will see more widespread storms. Otherwise they may be widely scattered as our cap/lid is relatively strong, but is in the process of eroding.
I would still keep my eyes on the radar and ears to NOAA Weather Radio should storms pop up and begin to move in from the west.
Have a good Wednesday everyone. I’ll post updates as needed.
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