Thursday, April 3, 2008

Unsettled Night Across The Area...

I tell you this has been one of those convoluted air mass days… The dryline remains stalled west of a line from Wichita Falls to Abilene then into the Big Bend area. The cold front is really taking its time getting through Oklahoma, but has almost sunk south to the TX – OK boarder. I can still see a lot of dynamics yet to pass us by before this storm system is done.

Moisture continues building up in the area per recent surface observations. About the only thing to make this sticky air rise is the dryline or the cold front. Well the cold front is still forecast to move through our area overnight. Also, looking at upper level wind observations and forecasts I think that we still have a chance of some heavy rain along the cold front. The amount will greatly depend on it (the front’s) forward movement.

All in all - the front seems to be on track to arrive between midnight and 6am. During this process, if storms start to increase and move south with the front then I imagine that a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be issued for the area. The tornado threat will decrease as time goes by, and storms that do go severe will probably exhibit characteristics of what is known as an HP(high precipitation) Supercell thunderstorm with hail, high winds and very heavy rain being the main threats.

A good night to have the NOAA Weather Radio by your bed and set correctly so that you can be warned if dangerous weather approaches while you are sleeping.




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